Real Estate for a changing world

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Our Forecast

FORECASTING : A dedicated team of economists

We recognise that real estate is local and to gain deeper understanding of each market, researchers need to have an in-depth knowledge of the heterogeneous market place. As such our economists are locally based and embedded with the local research professionals.
Our dedicated team of real estate economists cover 40 key real estate markets across Europe. They provide forecasts for key metrics from the fundamentals (supply, demand, vacancy rate and rents) to performance (yields, capital growth and total return) in the mains real estate sectors (Offices, Retail and Logistics). In the office sector they look at both the prime and secondary segments, giving our clients deeper understanding of trends in this important sector.

The final outlook is underpinned by a rigorous methodology of formal econometric modelling and inputs from local professionals to help tune the outcome with real time information. Together with our investment management research teams we develop a risk/return analysis using our forecast to provide our clients with strategic advice based on our acute understanding of the past and emerging future trends in the European real estate markets.
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    October 2020 Europe CRE 360

    While the global economy entered Q3 2020 with relatively strong momentum, after Q2’s plunge, the most recent indicators point to a flattening out, and so to a significant slowdown in GDP growth in Q4.

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    August 2020 European property market outlook

    In a period of uncertainty, investors seeking income and safety of capital are likely to turn to real estate. Yet, more than ever, asset selection will require greater discretion to make both those requirements a reality.

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    July 2020 COVID-19: a summer like no other

    The global economy is now gradually reopening. The leading indicators are positive and suggest that a V-shaped recovery is still on the table.

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    June 2020 Covid-19 Report

    The initial total lockdown is largely over. Many European countries have relaxed some of the most extreme curbs on activity. We expect further albeit gradual normalisation over the next few weeks, thanks to an improvement of the pandemic.

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    May 2020 COVID-19 Report

    Following the Codid-19 outbreak which has spread across the world, numerous European countries are ready to ease lockdown restrictions. However, the process for re-opening sectors will be gradual and downside risks to growth outlook are still there. In this unprecedented context, the Pan-European commercial real estate market is slowing down and some trends are already emerging.

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    April 2020 COVID-19: the world after the pandemic

    Most European countries are past or at the peak of COVID-19 infection and their governments are now looking towards strategies to reactivate their economies. Whilst lockdown measures will be eased, social distancing may still apply, leaving businesses vulnerable. This is likely to mean that governments will maintain very ambitious measures to support their economies.

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    April 2020 Covid-19 Report

    The COVID-19 outbreak has spread across the world. While the situation is getting worse in the United States, some countries are easing their lockdown restrictions, mainly in Asia and very gradually in Europe. In this unprecedented context, the Pan-European commercial real estate market is slowing down and some trends are already emerging

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    End March 2020 Covid-19 REPORT

    The Covid-19 outbreak continues to unfold across the world. The measures such as travel restrictions, followed up by population lockdowns, are creating a dramatic fall in activity in many European countries.
    This report is an insight to better understand the economic outlook, the outbreak situation, the support schemes, and last but not least, the real estate perspective.

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    March 2020 COVID-19: the virus making the global economy brake

    At the end of 2019 economists around the world were sure about one thing: 2020 should be a year of continuity, even better than 2019 as economic systemic risk around us started to reduce (mainly the Brexit and the trade war between the US and China).

  • March 2020 Covid 19 situation

    The emergency of Covid-19 at the beginning of 2020 took the world by surprise (delivering a shock), just as the global economy had begun to stabilize from trade wars in the preceding years.